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Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
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Posted - 2012.03.29 23:38:00 -
[1] - Quote
Last week:
Trit 4.58 Pye 5.31 Mex 54.96 Iso 73.74 Nocx 567 Zyd 1173 Mega 2733 Morph 4980
Today:
Trit 4.80 Pye 5.75 Mex 54.25 Iso 81.00 Nocx 595 Zyd 1750 Mega 3300 Morph 7500
Veld 144 Scor 128 Pyro 175 Plag 155 Omb 90 Kern 156 Jasp 186 Hemo 218 Hedb 217
DarkO 230 Croc 340 Bist 362 Ark 435
Estimates 1:
Trit 5.00 Pye 6.00 Mex 60.00 Iso: 90.00 Nocx: 750 Zyd: 2500 Mega: 4000
Veld 150 Scor 133 Pyro 200 Plag 169 Omb 100 Kern 173 Jasp 229 Hemo 277 Hedb 274
DarkO 313 Croc 477 Bist 479 Ark 546
Estimates 2:
Trit 5 Pye 6 Mex 65 Iso 100 Nocx 900 Zyd 2800 Mega 4500 Morph 7500
Veld 150 Scor 133 Pyro 223 Plag 180 Omb 110 Kern 189 Jasp 271 Hemo 327 Hedb 320
DarkO 360 Croc 539 Bist 538 Ark 614
That's about the upper limit I think for the ABCs. At those price points, there will be mining a-plenty. |
Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
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Posted - 2012.03.30 03:08:00 -
[2] - Quote
corestwo wrote:I can't remember if you've explained your numbers elsewhere or not. Care to?
Mine approach it from the point of view that if certain ores get too pricey, the miners will flock to them driving up supply and driving down prices. Assuming that a solo hulk can pull in 90-95k m3 of ore per hour, and that once a solo hulk's income gets above 20-25M ISK/hr in hi-sec, the market reacts. Because it's not hard to dual or triple-box solo hulks and start pulling in 60-70M ISK/hr when hi-sec ore gets above 200 ISK/m3.
(Keeping in mind that hi-sec orca can boost yields by 40-65% per hour if a small fleet is setup. I used to run 3 hulks + orca and figured that I was topping out at around 350-360k m3/hr of raw ore.)
For null sec, a solo hulk that pulls in 50-60M ISK/hr starts to look very attractive (more so once you toss Rorqual boosts into the mix) - which is around 600 ISK/m3. So once again, I'm not sure that ores can get above 600 ISK/m3 and stay there for very long before the market balances back out.
I really don't expect hi-sec ores to stay above 150 ISK/m3 past mid-June / mid-July. Maybe they will if CCP keeps the botters at bay. |
Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
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Posted - 2012.04.05 21:18:00 -
[3] - Quote
Mookie Quantico wrote:There's chatter about mid and high end ores in WH's getting axed at some point, too... buried somewhere in CSM minutes or some such document... so don't get your hopes up about *future* Nocx and Zydrine supplies coming out of WH's as they currently do.
The reason I don't see that happening is that the risk is approximately equal between null / w-space. With null having easier logistics due to not having to worry about w-hole mass limits, while in w-space you can't be hot-dropped.
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Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
834
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Posted - 2012.04.06 22:40:00 -
[4] - Quote
Raven Ether wrote:
Have you been in those grav sites? They are quite rare, not to mention that ore quantities are not that substantial. Most miners don't even bother. Only a few explorers mining them won't make a difference.
Yeah, that's a big issue with the size of grav sites. CCP makes the "small" ones so small that they're just not worth scanning down most of the time. Boost the size of grav sites by 5x in volume and they'll be a lot more interesting and worthwhile to go hunting for.
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Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
842
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Posted - 2012.04.09 12:55:00 -
[5] - Quote
Aina Sasaki wrote:Nocxium has taken a little bit of a dip in Amarr so far today compared to where it was yesterday. I suppose it may just be a weekend thing as people drop what they mined/reproccessed yesterday, seemingly oblivious to the upcoming patch. Hopefully the prices will start shooting back up again during the week when less people are online. :)
Sales were extremely slow on Sunday from my PoV. My guess is a bit of profit-taking, holidays and the market taking a breath before it goes nutzo again closer to the April 24th patch.
Mineral index is still generally up.
http://www.evemarketeer.com/trade/mineralindex
Nocx definitely showed some weakness on Sunday.
http://www.evemarketeer.com/item/info/38#3
The spread is also rather large. Top 5 region buy is 740, but the sell is 933.
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